Verified Evidence: resolved · Fact Lock: locked · QA: pass
Pre-election coverage of the 2026 US congressional midterms is focusing on two different indicators: the voter groups that could shape the result and polling on the House of Representatives, Senate and presidential approval.

Handelsblatt examines which voter groups could determine the congressional outcome. It says Donald Trump won many Latino votes in 2024, while cautioning that the pattern could be different in the midterms. The material does not include a specific estimate for Latino voters or any other group.

La Repubblica, meanwhile, reports polling related to the House, Senate and approval of the president. The outlet also raises the possibility that the polling could be inaccurate, as has happened previously. No poll figures or projected seat outcomes are provided in the supplied material.

Taken together, the reports identify areas to watch rather than establish a likely result. The sources discuss possible outcomes and polling analysis, not a completed election, leaving the available evidence insufficient for a numerical forecast or a projection of control of Congress.

SOURCES

  1. La RepubblicaI sondaggi delle elezioni Usa: ecco come può andare il voto di midterm
  2. HandelsblattUS-Kongresswahlen: Auf diese Wählergruppen kommt es bei den Midterms an